Just a couple more days until the fourteen race festival of racing that is the Breeders Cup gets under way at Churchill Downs, the home of the Kentucky Derby. And I’ve been all out trying to figure the potential champs from the overbet chumps.
There’s a strong possibility that I’ve got some right and some wrong – such is the way of these things – and do bear in mind that generally I’ve looked for value bets, so I might well have tried to make a case for getting some of the shorter priced horses beaten.
With that caveat in situ, let’s take a look at Friday’s Breeders Cup races, starting with…
8.10 Breeders Cup MarathonProfilesMarathonPP – Post PositionRS – Running StyleSharp last race?CD form?Required stamina?Beyer TopAlcomoSYNY97AtonedSRYN?96AU MinerRYY?104Awesome GemRNNN106Bright HorizonWSYNY88?EldaaferSYNY100Gabriel’s HillWNN?94Giant OakSYYN104Million SellerSYNN85Precision BreakSNNY91?Prince Will I AmRYYY90RompRYN?91Temple CitySNNY100Likely Pace ScenarioThe letters in the tables mean the following: there are three main running styles: horses who are front runners (or Wire horses, ‘W’); horses who track the lead (or Stalk, ‘S’); and horses who sit off the pace and make a late run (or Rally, ‘R’).
Some horses vary their pace style – as they do in UK, and indeed everywhere – between a couple of these styles, and this is where you’ll see for instance, WS. Meaning the horse runs both from the front and sometimes near the front.
Finally, if you see for instance Ws (i.e. capital W, small s), this means the horse is predominantly a front-runner but occasionally sits just off the lead.
Gabriel’s Hill looks the likeliest pace setter, and Irish Bright Horizon could take her on up front, to ensure an honest clip.
The main pack is likely to comprise Alcomo, Eldaafer, Giant Oak, Million Seller, Precision Break and Temple City; with the
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